tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7435391049679382734.post2504402728152418324..comments2023-10-11T11:27:30.741-04:00Comments on Dualnoise: Analytics and Cricket - IX : Book cricket v/s T20 cricketUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7435391049679382734.post-75134481293585482882013-05-08T10:31:58.140-04:002013-05-08T10:31:58.140-04:00what do u suggest? :)what do u suggest? :)Shivahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05571015480979394896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7435391049679382734.post-29467461547861786712013-05-06T21:01:23.876-04:002013-05-06T21:01:23.876-04:00what about a batsmen scoring 3 runs or 5 runs (if ...what about a batsmen scoring 3 runs or 5 runs (if it hits the keepers helmet) ? ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7435391049679382734.post-49883877856148885402012-10-29T12:44:41.452-04:002012-10-29T12:44:41.452-04:00yes, the strike rate for free-hit deliveries may b...yes, the strike rate for free-hit deliveries may be higher, despite the over-eagerness of batsmen to cash in that causes them to under-perform (hence left the scoring model as is). perhaps 3.8 is conservative, and the expected cost may cross 4.0, making an ff-nb effectively a boundary ball on average.<br /><br />Shivahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05571015480979394896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7435391049679382734.post-21443168958494452892012-10-29T05:43:36.827-04:002012-10-29T05:43:36.827-04:00On a second reading, you have compared book cricke...On a second reading, you have compared book cricket with T20. With dot balls thrown in, it does get a lot closer.<br />Your finding on the costliness of a no-ball and wide down the leg side are also interesting. While I thought the wide was quite expensive, I didn't realize that a no-ball was that expensive. But shouldn't it be even more expensive? The probability of scoring big goes up for a free hit.Raghavan Subramaniyanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04976660774950657638noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7435391049679382734.post-44430482986305243442012-10-29T04:11:01.021-04:002012-10-29T04:11:01.021-04:00Very neat!
Good refresher on probability and stati...Very neat!<br />Good refresher on probability and statistics. The recursive relation D = 0.2 + 0.8*(1+D) did not strike me at first, but obvious after I saw it. I still need to understand the free-hit and no ball modifications.<br /><br />I found another thing striking. In T20, around 40-60% of balls are dot balls. If we add these to the duration of the innings of book cricket, we pretty much have a typical T20 innings of today! Book cricket can indeed lay claim to be the forerunner to T20 (and even going a step further by dispensing with balls where no action takes place)Raghavan Subramaniyanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04976660774950657638noreply@blogger.com